Prediction Markets Anticipate GPT-6 Release by September
Prediction markets suggest a 78% likelihood of OpenAI's GPT-6 being released by September 30, according to Decrypt. Trading activity on platforms like Polymarket and Myriad reflects increasing confidence among traders about the anticipated launch.
Traders on prediction markets, such as Polymarket and Myriad, currently assign approximately 78% odds to the public release of OpenAI's GPT-6 by September 30. This is a notable increase from just 14% at the beginning of the month, evidencing growing confidence in a September launch. The market for GPT-6 on Polymarket has seen approximately $731,000 in trading volume, marking an uptick of about $32,000 from previous figures.
OpenAI has not officially confirmed a release date or details about GPT-6, which follows the recent launch of GPT-5.6 Sol on July 9. Despite the lack of official announcements, the prediction market dynamics suggest a shift towards viewing September as a feasible timeline for the next model's arrival. Traders indicate they are not dismissing earlier dates in August but are now viewing September as significantly more likely.
The GPT-6 model is expected to enhance capabilities beyond those of GPT-5.6, focusing more on functioning as an autonomous coworker rather than simply a chatbot. Current indications suggest that forthcoming features may enhance AI coordination, allowing it to perform more complex tasks and collaborate with users over time using memory capabilities.
As of now, observers and users in the AI community continue to wait in anticipation for any updates or confirmation from OpenAI regarding GPT-6. The shifts in prediction market odds serve as an ongoing barometer for community sentiment around the timeline for this significant next step in AI development.
Summary based on original reporting by Jose Antonio Lanz at Decrypt, originally published Jul 27, 2026. SolanaWire does not republish source content.
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